Prices they going to drop it

Director: Ming

music can lower prices has been debated for many years. Some people (mostly developers) said that housing was the country's economic growth, falling house prices will lead to reduction in the level of economic development in China; some people (mostly the general population) is that the modest decline in house prices in order to facilitate all can afford housing, restore the house to live property.

In fact, the seemingly simple Effect of reasons.

for the people concerned, municipalities are beginning to have some highly educated, high-tech talent because of the housing dissatisfaction and leave the city, this brain drain of these cities are also potential losses; In addition, there are already some people, because there is no housing on the social discontent arising from emotions, such emotions are running high on the construction of a harmonious and stable social environment is extremely unfavorable. People from the impact of housing on large point of view, it is a matter of importance, little is evident!

about housing prices, of course, to analyze the reasons for rising house prices in the past!

the past few years so what factors are responsible for skyrocketing housing prices in the short time it? Simply put, that is, the relationship between supply and demand drastic changes!

First, I must mention that, before the housing reform does not solve the supply and demand in the housing system reform still exists. Well-known urban housing system mainly by the former welfare housing distribution, rapidly changing for the purchase of real estate mainly because of welfare housing supply and demand during the conflict does not solve the problem, still continued under the new system, the problem is because the effect of the development of society passive amplification, and in the absence of a sound system protection, no other housing assistance, such as: an appropriate proportion of low-rent housing, affordable housing and so as a supplement, together with limited small-property rights, limited financing housing construction, after the housing system in the fast-changing , which has led, after a few years there have been massive focus on the housing of the You can see is just after 5 years of housing reform, housing for the issue of

Secondly, the new social development with the problem of insufficient supply and demand. Age of marriage in the vast majority of our young city trying to own their own homes, a large population countries like China have similar orders of magnitude every year new people join the team, plus there are every year to improve the housing needs of the population, have been formed a huge housing demand, he met the country's The housing itself is in short supply at the same time, there is no price control mechanism, rise is inevitable (for example: a place to sell real estate agency has 10 suites,Coach Jewellery, 20 people can afford to buy, if prices do not rise to the case, there must be 10 buy housing, how to allocate these properties do? then that he can get 20 people to the auction house will passively, until the price is acceptable so far only 10 people, and if the developers to cover plate 5 sets, only sell 5 sets , then the price had risen to only 5 people will date the approval), plus there is no monitoring system to developers, they I remember the most serious period, some areas simply look at skyrocketing prices, but there are some people took the money can not buy housing, in the material thin high prices.

Again, there is general because promotion of housing prices, that is, the increase in housing costs.

many factors determine the price of commercial housing, but is nothing less than the most basic: land costs, construction costs, operating costs, additional costs, developers profit. Years to include additional costs, the cost of demolition is also home room, ancillary road construction costs, construction costs of public facilities, there may be gray or cost, and of course, these will eventually be passed on to the real estate prices in! However, the main factors causing costs are:

first expansion, this inflation by tightening domestic monetary difficult to control, (unless not dollars, but that is impossible, even so, it takes a long time to straighten out), look at the strict administrative policies promulgated by the state curb price hikes are Peoples of the world and is widely used as they like to pay in U.S. dollars, the currency is to bring the most direct prices, which rose by monetary aggregates (national currency market, the total circulation) and the total quantity of goods decided that they should tend to adapt, which will be increased;

Second, land prices, China has many years of reform and opening up, China is the world of China (ha ha, nonsense!), China's economy is closely linked to the world, while wages, benefits, labor , land prices so much lower than developed countries, enabling low-cost will stimulate foreign investment, a negative value of these things up that space on the very, very easy to lose a lot of internal and foreign investment caused reduction and the shortage of land resources, land prices to be raised, our country is absolutely scarce resources of land resources, as compared with other countries, there is good reason to rise, we can not accept his price, because our wages and benefits far and increasing land prices do not match it. Those in power, the more important is the current all taxes, including a reduction of agricultural tax, personal income tax had fallen, and so reduce the government's disposable income, coupled with many difficult to pursue the tax evasion, in addition, involves the land, , auction, Therefore, the land transfer price is rising! Evolution to the final and will have no housing developers get the land, waiting to price increases, sleight of hand tricks, and thereby exacerbating the shortage of housing supply, the reality!

Thirdly, the maximization of business profit, as long as possible to obtain a profit, they have no reason to benefit the consumers in vain, in a seller's market, they will seek price increases,

first Fourth, additional costs are also increasing, in particular, greater efforts to build a security room to pass on to the hands of commercial developers, demolition (the demolition of many places and should have demolished demolished) and move back to the cost of one of them, These costs will be apportioned to the relentless housing in their development.

Why give up the welfare housing and engage in real estate it?

remember 98 before the housing reform, city people are mostly in the form of welfare housing to home ownership, time, price is very low, but very few people buy a house, there is not much real estate market, on the surface like life is pretty calm. But that period, because all enterprises, units of different sizes, to provide housing is very different, but one thing that is substantially the same people are desperate to room, assigned to the room started to complain about the house floor is good, too small,Louis Vuitton Sunglasses, the location is too biased, irrational and so much more room, the kind of housing distribution system, indeed obvious flaw, it is difficult meet the growing material and cultural needs. First of all, real estate developers are not positive, because most people are waiting for housing allocation, and very few people buy their own house, poor circulation, not many benefits, to stimulate the nerve developers, so the house was built only to meet basic living functions, developers will not think about careful design, most of the cost of completion in accordance with basic requirements and wrong, and now the community concept can not be compared; Secondly, people's poor selectivity, can only choose a limited availability, satisfaction is difficult to choose their own house; again, difficult to adapt to the modern concept of life.

housing reform, our life changes are great, especially the new greatly improved the appearance of the house, developers spend a lot of effort to design room, to meet the needs of different people, now surrounded by new residential have built a large commercial shopping, public transportation, parks and other necessary facilities, the house is also under the supervision of the country, more safety, energy conservation and environmental protection.

However, we must see that it was called

high prices mean for us?

in China, the housing development does have an important role in driving the national economy, this point has been reached. Mainly because: first, is that people own their own homes and spend much effort in to do every year a huge new housing demand, there is a demand market niche. Second, the real estate involved in a wide range of related industries and interests of the chain, including steel, concrete, chemicals, nonferrous metals, electrical materials, electrical appliances, hardware, furniture, decoration, transportation, energy, transport, electricity, heating, property, environmental protection departments government revenue, and so many. Third, some people buy houses to pay 10 or even 20 years of income to consumption of real estate, of course, is to stimulate consumption.

China for thousands of peasant economy (chickens, ducks, pigs, cattle, sheep raising their own food and dishes from the kinds of self-closing, have something to say: 30 acres of land for a cow, a simple white picket fence the wife and kids hot economy ), this economy, people are not the source of more money, of course, also difficult to talk about consumption, and also led to people since ancient times have savings (or or did) not dare social security spending (in fact, our revenue and welfare than in developed countries is still lagging far behind.)

However, the indisputable fact is that modern economic laws have been changed unconsciously people, our modern life is no longer limited to the pursuit of adequate food and clothing, and has started a new consumer, including small bike, color TV, large cars, real estate, and this is the key to the new economy Next, like a drum transfer flowers, as long as the stop transmission, in a certain period of time, hand each person has to spend, that is, paid work that everyone has access to the consumer, but once people stop spending, stop the transfer as like a flower, then, is likely nothing the other hands, it was because no consumer will directly lead to reduced demand for consumer goods, consumer goods can not be sold, manufacturers will have to cut production, lay off or even stop, close down, then there is the unemployed population unemployment will lead to further reduction of consumption necessary to form a vicious circle. That is not a certain amount of consumption, the modern economic system will be difficult to sustain.

to our current prices, to purchase a home about 10 years to an average household income of more than 20 years, so to force the people to advance and release of the consumer. This will inevitably give rise to two major problems, one, people do consume, and promote the development of real estate and related industries, however, came to this part of the wealth of real estate, mostly in the hands of the operator, not to hands of the state, or another way of saying that the money the ability of other consumer products, a significant decline in real estate and related industries to absorb huge funds, it will lead to nothing to do with the real estate industry will be drastically reduced because of consumer demand forced cut, cut until the closing, it will also go We mentioned earlier that the economic

particular, people may be unable to afford health care and education should be spending the most part, will lead to more social problems, even very serious social problems. May wish to guess about, would have a relatively fixed income wage earners, their spending power of the basic fixed, digest a huge amount of real estate, then, must bear the original acceptable Your school In addition, civil servants bear the same high prices when the crowd, to increase dissatisfaction among civil servants, may be slack, but more importantly is likely to stimulate their enthusiasm to get gray income, to lead them profit due to improper to perform their functions. We can also imagine that people get money through various means, the purpose is more property power, take the risk of corruption and bribery will be little market. (Control of corruption, rely on relative to the lack of salary) If not, then there will be so-called

In addition, housing prices will force the most direct employees of enterprises are expected to raise will make a lot of business and employment costs continue to increase pay to employees of enterprises to reduce corporate earnings, while companies low income, to a certain extent, will reduce R & D investment, replacement investment, security, investment and development of clean production inputs such as expansion, however, once the employee salary and production enterprises in the contradiction between the development of staff time will be accelerated flow, may lead to unsatisfactory salaries of technical staff quit, not conducive to business to have a stable product quality, business information security and their healthy development. In particular, the profits of real estate is too large, also induces an industrial development entities and invest a good real estate, now the trend is quite obvious, many of the central enterprises, private enterprises who have a sideline in real estate and highly profitable,Louis Vuitton Online Sale, with The real estate business will also transfer its main industry, with additional capital, and then people will put money into real estate. Keen on the whole society will invest in real estate, but can imagine that only the real estate economy can not survive long without the real economy, society is a castle in the air, which will be full of bubbles, once the weak growth rates, economic collapse is inevitable , the bubble burst, leaving only the air!

high price of housing, the reaction in real time, is the real estate business profits! We must not oppose a reasonable profit (hatred of the rich psychological and Shafujipin is the most desirable, on economic development is also considerable damage)! Key to return to the old saying will come up, the economy is the essence of How scientific guidance, including real estate tycoon, including the rich people do not get them into additional profits for the production of consumer back into society?

70% if the share of wealth in China is only 30% of the population of the rich, their personal wealth into a figure on the bank, the economy will inevitably slow down the flow, it will seriously restrict the development of the economy! To some extent also disrupt the economic order, it may appear, they buy beans, on the More seriously, some of the chiefs of local government officials may also affect the decision-making. As a result,Louis Vuitton Belt, countries in the world are figuring out ways to make the rich people of this part of their wealth with circulation to the national economy in the past.

to see the United States, to encourage rich people to join welfare in exchange for tax cuts; enterprises through various means to avoid monopoly and increase competition in these enterprises so that they continue to put profits into investment (this very important, as long as they keep the investment to develop production, rather than the bank into a digital or consumption abroad is beneficial to the country); In addition, the establishment of a special high-end consumer sites, such as what Broadway's for rich people to spend established luxury brands to meet the rich consumer, to reduce the funds idle (high consumption of part of the core idea is that the vast majority of high-profit part of the profits and taxes into the state, the return of the people); increase the luxury of holding continuing high cost of the expenditure to the rich; in order to avoid the descendants of wealthy rest on its laurels, for the establishment of a high huge amount of property inheritance tax, which also makes a lot of rich people's children can not afford the taxes, making it a part of the wealth flow of welfare, which rapid return to the community! Black singer Michael Jackson, is a typical example, during his lifetime he was a high income, lived in luxury, but after the death of tens of millions of foreign debt but also its rapid return to society the wealth!

So many years we have the so-called As we all know, we do not have a national government places high consumption in China has not known for luxury brands, and no reason for the wealthy to donate the property, then the rich people are not local consumption, not to mention those people who have money consumption,Thomas Sabo, for the foreseeable future, the economy will be sluggish! The consequences of such profits is'd promote the consumption of foreign luxury goods, to bring economic growth abroad, for the peoples of the world except China sent wealth, now you can see,Gucci Sunglasses, China's rich spend big bucks abroad! 'd Foreign luxury brands, we're familiar with! What foreign luxury Bugatti, BMW, Mercedes-Benz, LV, etc. operators have been smiling from ear to ear. Foreign trade deficit began to emerge, but also we are prompted to re-examine our own time! (Fortunately, the point of contention for the country VOLVO light!)

People come back to see the country, they used the world's lowest wages and worst labor protection and security, creating the world's largest wealth. This is profound thinking of the ruling authorities of the problem, how you govern for the people? ! Behind the high prices, most of which actually feed the profits of foreign luxury brands Oh! ! ! (We all know that the low cost of luxury goods, the profit is substantial)

good prices rise or drop good?

and concern often discussed is the price they going to drop or rise, many people want to drop, the best free (can not, is not realistic); there are still some people want to up their assets in the hands of can also be appreciated, the achievements that they do not work for the dream of overnight riches (currently a lot of people have inadvertently achieved the dream, but then people may only dream of!), these two types of people are full of the sake of unearned men! In fact, Price Change answer to this question exists in the period in which the community! Different times, the answer is different! Let us discuss the search for the answer it!

policy guidance type of house prices decline, then what? Prices drop, reducing the profitability of real estate to a certain extent, there will be out real estate agency real estate market becomes less competitive, less supply, prices can not be sustained decline in inflation are not difficult to maintain! For now, though on the surface a lot of vacant rooms, but is still a short supply of the house as the main performance! Difficult to maintain sustained price decline!

However, (in dynamic balance with nature is such, huh, huh!) can be expected in the future transformation of the end of the city,Louis Vuitton Handbags, people are moving back to finish the demolition, but most of these groups is more than a property, not only do not these people need to buy a house, but also provide rental housing to the community; and China's population will reach in 2015 a balance of population growth, demand for new housing will begin to reduce the population; we will be behind the vast majority of new generation child, ancestors, and the parent will have two generations are likely to bequeath property, and each generation is likely to stay more than a property, do they also need to buy a house, that is their business; the role of the result of many factors together will make considerable number of people, even most people slowly, no longer needs to purchase real estate; take a look at countries now have tens of millions of sets of strong planning and construction of affordable housing, these houses will make a real difference in the effectiveness of a few years; from here to see the engine of growth in house prices subsides, is expected to near future, if there is no external power, even if everyone is eager to rising house prices, it does not go up. (Hey, from the above perspective, blame the high prices at the same time, we also blame the untimely ah! Ha ha)

that home prices skyrocketing, how? A large number of speculative capital to re-enter the real estate, will lead to real estate occupied by a large number of social wealth, leading to reduced consumption of other, possibly less investment, social development is slow, or even an economic addition to the dominance of the real estate, other industries to re-shuffle! Widening gap between rich and poor, decreased quality of life, will bear a heavy burden, decreased happiness, increased social discord led to social instability! More critical is the basis of the bubble by the composition, very fragile, and once broken, have become a dream!

the interests of all parties to seek balance?

First of all, can not let the real estate fever and overheating, to well-developed housing system, began to acquire land from developers, regulators all their accounts, so that expenditures be reported in detail, a clear margin of the property, (one day cries of the medical treatment is difficult and expensive, in fact, the state is provided, the medical and pharmaceutical sales, profits shall not exceed 15% of the purchase price) we have reason to say that real estate can not give them free rein to provide clear profit rate, and perhaps should not be higher than 15% of the cost, right? Also, the wages of construction workers should not be counted in the cost. In addition, to continue to develop policies to prevent developers hoarding land not housing, and the building of the

Second, we should formulate a policy to adapt to city location. Cities like Beijing, appropriate restrictions on the purchase is scientific, where the strongest attributes of goods house, the National People and the world where people are likely to buy a break up soil, then a large supply of the house may still not meet demand, So, you must set the conditions to guide the purchase order. Clearly, the pending development of such a policy is not necessarily suitable for the city, because they more often need someone to go to the construction of their cities to go! In fact, Beijing's approach to paying tax certificate is noteworthy (but the tax proved to be 5 years time seems a bit long), which can be met in Beijing in this part of the long-term living needs of people, which is the appropriate limit speculators and real estate speculators, apparently, any policy is not foolproof, the public should have a forgiving heart to allow it to have the amount of process development and improvement!

again, should be temporarily allow qualified enterprises to raise capital as part of housing, in order to avoid a mighty force in single, to raise funds for building temporary housing in short supply when the add! (Do not be so anxious arbitrary limit housing construction, affordable housing, otherwise, would have removed the reconstruction is to help improve the living conditions and to adapt to urban development, the results of the urgent housing needs of non-completion of the planning and design reasonably complex, they will eventually become a new obstacle to urban development, once, built these houses are not conducive to long-lived, resulting in no one to stay, new building could not be torn down to rebuild, it was less effective)

Finally, we do not have much of the high consumption countries, the rich suffer no place to spend the money, some people have donated to Taiwan, Japan, donated to the disaster area, that is not seen how many poor people donated to the Northwest, showing that the management and philanthropy lack of guidance exists, it should go well. Well, look at the current situation, where the only record from the rich people are selling points to close the villa! Perhaps it should not refuse to build the villa? May choose to approve the construction of villas strictly limited proportion of it? Perhaps the city should have about 1% of the approval of the villa is not it? However, we must be clear and appropriate supply of open house is for national income, well, since the clarity of purpose, then the house should belong to the core interests of the country, developers should certainly be dipping it! Villa can be taken to set the lowest price, but not limited to the highest price, and even auction, however, the developer of the sales profits remain within 15% of the cost, selling more than all the money owned by the state finance (funds to be clearly accepted sector, the future expenditure of this amount to determine the direction and details), in the audit department to set up a special monitoring Kong (government can not not be afraid of spending wages, they will bring greater value), audit the flow of funds, the villa should be implementation of a higher purchase rate, as Chongqing Municipality to implement property tax on non-value house of learning, so as to developed countries will increase the cost of ownership of such properties, from one side, also to avoid once and for all property owners to promote the property owners struggled to maintain spending, very scientific! (By the way, you can certainly choose not to consume such a luxury, want to have will have to pay more, so there will help guide the rich consumer.)

Should also encourage the development of service industries, in particular, plus large investment to create a luxury brand image of their country, what car, luggage, cosmetics and so badly needs, and encourage the establishment of high-end, midrange and normal consumption and entertainment, you can put into the building by the government and then transferred to the private capital The Government also can be profitable!

personally think that a reasonable rate of housing prices should be lower than GDP, CPI, and average wage growth should even lower than the interest rate (their profits have been large, the price level can lower interest rates, Of course, in today's currency prices do not rise it is quite difficult.) Because of this desire to get rich will profit real estate investment dreams broken off, greatly reduce the level of real estate people and reduce their unnecessary investment,Coach Sunglasses, so that now the demand for housing did not follow the trend of mass emotional stability, and not eager to share room. Enough to make real estate there is a product of the property's return to live properties, so that there is a demand for housing people when considering buying. The real danger of squeezing out the bubbles in real estate prices!

have ups and downs of prices and social development, we need to know the price stability of basic consumer goods, technology products, prices, prices of mineral resources is not the time, the price rise is irrational offensive a; the other hand, prices on the rise, wages rise, while inflation in the expansion, let house prices is unreasonable, is not desirable, but the state can set their profit margins!

conclusion, the state must be strict management of real estate, housing, quality control of course top priority, then the regulation of prices. Housing pricing system should be clear, the real estate should be limited profit margins, return to a reasonable extent to make it give up the real estate profits, though, the real estate development will therefore slow, but steady in the economy come back, in exchange for community harmony and national stability, the formation of a rational economic structure, social patterns of sustainable development has to solve a lot of exposure and no exposure is currently the problem, then, is worth it! In addition, the rapid development of society can not be afraid of high consumption and high consumption declined, the wisdom of government leaders should be to guide the high consumption, control of high consumption, and even encourage the wealthy high-consumption, it is important where the money eventually flows, as long as into account the people's governments of large and benefit of the people, it is reasonable from that, right! The price is higher than the value of things, nothing is just up and not fall, commodities such, gold is so, the house, too, as long as it deviates from the value of the price of the house also has reason to lower prices!

extended, life is good, the future is promising, it is possible at a reasonable price range! It is also required the joint efforts of all social groups of