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Old 08-12-2011, 10:55 AM   #1
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Default Chopper 2010 cost control entire 3 bombs into du

chopper: 2010 price control all three bombards into dumb bombards
- A

1, beginning from the end of 2009, after variant round of multi-market norm, regulation of costs in front of the New Deal namely to play the role of housing costs? Whether there are signs namely the New Deal granted housing prices to ebb?
chopper: the accurate time that a regulation is April 17 this year, ten countries starting from May 1, has introduced the industry began to appliance the policy, financial policy and monetary policy adjustments, but because the market form has been misrepresent the law of value has no efficacy, these control means transmitted to the steel fist buffet the mall as cotton, futile. In truth, no one could see, no matter how regulation can actually curb the prices of the three nuclear weapons, not one and launch it.
three nuclear weapons, one is to remove the developer's own chief ratio, the abolition of developers leverage in bank loans, which the Government can do, as long as housing prices really drop, the control of developers This is a must have, and now the developer's own funds in 2009, the proportion of the salvage, by 35% to 20%, equal to twice the bank from the distended to quadruple leverage, so the developer is concerned, it is simple to get mammoth bank loans, new loans this year have taken away 36% by real estate, 3% higher than last year, what control you accommodate what? Transferred to the end, developers are still no funding, so the real control to make the developer's own capital ratio to 50% or more.
two monetary policy actually does not migrate, just raise the deposit keep ratio five times, to depress bank risk is good, but, antagonism raising the deposit reserve ratio is also in the revitalization of mobility, however, because commercial banks are mainly constantly unlock new loans, offset by raising the deposit reserve ratio for all effects, and can not be transmitted to the market, there is no effect on curbing prices. Interest rates, central bank leader Zhou Xiaochuan has an explanation, is the production of 7 hex is meditative, and now to 5 decimal is the product of the calculator, it sounds very reasonable, however, added 0.02 less, in fact, developed a year business and regional government expenditures less interest loans can be more than 700 billion, 120 billion less recovery of mobility. The central bank will now continue to take such amounts, Mongolian people. When the central bank to raise interest rates to the real, and, in three or more times a year, that is the real control.
simply get out of three property tax. Now that the pilot property tax, put the property tax completely out of shape. Housing system as a important national initiatives have been a very solemn matter, livelihood, attach to long-term stability of a country, must be levied along the nation as a whole. However, out as so long, did no come up with a whatever, do no not bring an end to ..., yet dare not touch the interests of officials.
can be seen from the on three points, not to agree in the basic regulation, nor any indication that prices will fall.

2, to the end of the annual this year, the Shanghai attribute tax procedure looming, new purchase and the aggregate over 200 square meters alternatively tax. Some people think that affordable housing of 200 square meters or extra people are fearful to disburse taxes that point, how do you think almost this program? Property tax is to play a restricted role of house prices?
Chopper: You may not see the Shanghai real possession tax accumulation program, a complete departure from the property tax is intended. National real possession taxes, primarily as a balancing machinery of social asset created in the action, mainly for families with multiple residences, heavily taxed, in Shanghai, became only the newly purchased residential property tax, which not only equitable a very funny entity, but a departure from the property tax impose purposes, he is a people's administration of a new predatory exactions, only oiled the price is impossible to limit prices.

3, the hereafter you prophesy whether the Government ambition introduce regulatory policies? Control policies from the start what? How will the hereafter price campaigns?
Chopper: The government has wit's end,GHD Midnight Collection Gift Set, house prices in 2011 is preordained to heave. General director of Hong Kong investment bank Goldman Sachs Ha Jiming prophesy the premier 15 min of afterward year will be gunpowder growth in new loans, not just move prices up, and will have implications for inflation. The future price trend,GHD Black Styler Straighteners, price will be structured in loose-tier cities, and skyrocketing prices will maximum affluent cities, and proceeded to October next year. Optimistic estimate, to the end of October next year, the central bank will heave interest rates double. If the chief bank is not to raise interest rates, the housing bubble will begin to seem in the second half of 2011 regional burst. If interest rates double, the housing bubble can be nourished since May 2012 regional minced, shattered the whole second half of 2012.

4,GHD New Wave Limited Edition, a second-tier cities as Xi'an, the rate of the real estate bubble is not very high, this method that house prices relatively strong. Second-tier cities, housing prices and first-tier cities are ups and downs a
Chopper: I did not do research of Xi'an, the rate of the bubble can not say, depends on a comprehensive assessment of rental percentage, vacancy rate and price earnings percentage. However, this round of price increases not reflect the value of housing, but housing prices caused at devaluation. Xi'an is likewise the use of RMB, therefore, not part of Xi'an, the ecology of the things bubble in housing type, and are caused by rising inflation. Xi'an Change focuses on price alterations in the renminbi. If the yuan does not raise interest rates, but continued to devalue, and that prices should rise, whether the central bank began raising interest rates, and a definite intensity, that it is also the price drip in Xi'an soon.

5, your comprehending of the development of Xi'an and the future of real estate prices is expected to be like?
Chopper: I did a lot of second-tier cities in central research, however, the Central Plains and western districts of the learn is small. Housing and population, future population of the city charming to big real estate development there, but space does not average that housing prices. I appeal to the nation's second-tier basic assessment of the urban population does not Xi'an, that is, not the West preparation came ten. Next five to 8, second-tier cities in inland China is only one urban population may exceed 10 million, that is, Changsha, Zhuzhou, Xiangtan, the size of intensive development,GHD Diamond National Flag, will send the population explosion,GHD MK4 Pink Straighteners, other cities will not work.

6, recently, many people now wandering Xi'an, in the end shot to buy a house or continue to await and see, speak about your views.
chopper: October 2008, the government publishing money to aid the crazy prices, breaking the statute of amount and economic laws, so I do not buy anyone proposals. Each kin is differ, intended to buy a house and Chibidaigou should buy for their own operations, and not hear to additional people's so-called suggestions. However, there is not investment value of China's housing bubble will break sooner or later.

7, Xi'an, you meditation how much per square meter prices rational? Why?
chopper: it is even harder to say. Xi'an, a city like the development of future economic and population are thought independent, has not aid afford and claim resolve prices, price earnings ratio, rental ratio, the vacancy rate can not annotate such a city of Xi'an prices. Reason that, for currencies have not the same, Xi'an prices is tough to return to 2008 levels, my impression of Xi'an in 2008 prices in 3200-3600 yuan scope. The price is reasonable.


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