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December CPI is expected to fall 5%
>> affect
Yi Xianrong said the central bank to adjust the deposit reserve ratio is smaller than the interest rate dynamics, impact on the market would be smaller. So far several times raised the deposit reserve ratio on the stock market is not too much. The stock market, it should be bearish.

Financial Research Institute,Wen County of Gansu Discipline Inspection Commission investigation interception of millions of post-earthquake reconstruction fund for, Chinese Academy of Social researcher Yi Xianrong that the high CPI in November increased the rate hike expectations, the stock market next week, come on that is bad news.


price pressures will exist a year or two

ANZ Liu Ligang, director of Greater China economic research that the point of view from the control of inflation, interest rates are still the most effective policy instruments, the interest rate increases will affect the residents of the future cash flows, in particular, control the real estate market speculation, limiting the formation of asset bubbles. In addition to raising interest rates, the Chinese central bank in the hands there is another tool for a price, which is the exchange rate. RMB appreciation can inhibit the imported inflation, the pressure on the domestic economy slowed, and in the long period of time is conducive to China's economic restructuring and adjustment.


industry experts believe that farm income is far below the long-standing income workers, resulting in capital and labor continue to one-way flow to the industry, the imbalance between the supply of agricultural products will inevitably lead to reduced prices. This round of price increases, but a reasonable return parity industrial and agricultural products.

CPI trend for some time how

CPI high stock market bad



>> News Watch
12 月 3 May meeting of the Politburo declared that currency issued under the thinking over the amendment and the recovery of mobility, the high inflation concerns.
from the tight economic policy will be the future main theme
have written comprehensive Xinhua reporter Ma Wenting Zhou Yu
will exceed 3% of the annual control targets
He said that in October,work dresses, November the new prices many factors, the first half of next year, especially in the first quarter of the lag effect is larger.

pushed up food prices into the CPI rose a

& ldquo ; November price increase really beyond many people expected. .
whether official or markets that quite a lot of future inflation pressures, and is an important issue facing the economy, which, analysts believe that will accelerate decision-making process of normalization of monetary policy to maintain the theme of policy tightening.

government for rising food prices take a lot of policy, why the CPI is still up to make Yun Sheng to explain, Together with vegetables other than the expanded food prices, such as fruit, eggs, and seasonal-related products such increase is relatively large. So comprehensive down, food for CPI's 'contribution' rate is still relatively high. Yun Sheng to introduce, housing prices rose 5.8%, pulling CPI rose 0.9 percentage points. As the water and electricity as well after the winter heating coal prices, driven housing prices rose in November to expand on the CPI
Sheng to Win also said that with the implementation of the State Council over 16 in the next period is to maintain the basic stability of general price level.
round of price increases this factor is more critical - especially basic types of social costs of rising labor costs,asics us, which is labor-intensive food, especially vegetables and field has been particularly evident. Monitoring of the Ministry of Commerce found that 11 earlier this month, 36 of 18 major cities the average wholesale price of vegetables and 3.9 yuan per kg, up 11.3% over the beginning of the previous year rose 62.4% over the same period.

the first quarter of next year, consumer prices will remain high. December, last year dropped by one percentage point hikes this year. Together since the end of November, residents necessities of grain, oil, meat, vegetable prices stabilize or decline, initially expected in November of this year's CPI increase is the high point in December CPI increase will be somewhat lower, possibly down to 5 % or less.
hyperinflation does not appear

price increases, especially in basic necessities of food-based prices, to the lives of ordinary people a greater pressure, but also gave birth to stockpile anti-up the expenditure


macro economy of China Academy of Social Sciences Zhang Xiaojing, director of the view that inflationary pressures will continue to the next large, but not vicious inflation. With urbanization, agricultural prices showed a rising trend. Resources, land, wages,ralph lauren online store uk, interest rates and other factor prices is the trend of market-oriented reforms, which will push prices up. However, the overall oversupply of domestic industrial products, food successive harvests,asics gel equation 外交部：菲代表团26日访京通报劫, coupled with the ongoing adjustment of monetary policy, the future will not be hyperinflation.
In this context, The parties

Thus, by the temporary price intervention policies and, in the short term can effectively curb the rapid rise in prices, but the long-term support for agricultural prices are still strong. To prevent price intervention led to reduced supply, in turn pushing up prices, situation, our urgent need to strengthen the agricultural infrastructure, strengthen food vegetables, planning, improve agricultural mechanization to reduce the cost of agricultural products circulation, do everything possible to increase the supply of agricultural products. At the same time, through the issuance of the temporary price subsidies, social assistance and security standards and price increases linked to other measures to ensure low-income groups live.
head of the State Development and Reform Commission pointed out that the occurrence of various policy measures price stability role to be a process. National Development Document No. 16 of 40 measures, some are medium to long term, such as supporting the development of agricultural production; some could soon bear fruit, fresh agricultural products such as toll free, standard lower supermarkets, markets slotting allowance, booth fees, and increasing the intensity of state policy such as grain and oil delivery. Recent measures in the December 20 can all be put in place, achieved significant results. Long-term measures needed to implement a process to establish the social security assistance, such as standards and price increases linked to the linkage mechanism, to further improve market supervision and regulations.






why the CPI price policy is still effective high

as National Economic Research Institute of Finance Research Director Zhang Yuan bank said: super-community expected the main reason. Since 2009, the amount of money put on credit days must have lagged the overall price level boosting effect. In addition, the expected appreciation of the renminbi and the trade surplus, coupled with the developed economies in Europe and America have the second round of warm-quantitative easing policy,



year prices are still regulated target range

>> policy direction
CPI increase in November broke may exceed 3.2%,timberland boat shoes, exceeding the annual inflation control target.



interest rates will not increase the risk of influx of hot money? Yi Xianrong negative attitude. He believes that interest rates in China and the United States and Europe is not a concept, can not simply compare the figures from the interest rate.
1 accumulated 11 months,asics gt 2140, the national CPI rose year on year has reached 3.2%, while the beginning of the year is 3% of the control objectives. Does this mean that full-year target price control has been a breakthrough? For this issue, Sheng to transport in yesterday's press conference did not directly answer, but stressed that It should be a little over 3% of the control objectives are still within the range. The most favorable conditions for the State Department measures the effect of Article 16 will continue to appear. In addition, the hikes, there is no in December, which dragged down overall prices also have a positive effect.

should see price increases in 2010, breaking the unusual weather, natural disasters, supply price trends to determine within a few months had
cross-examine, however, senior macroeconomic analyst with Tang Jianwei, the central bank will raise interest rates means caution, mainly through open market operations, reserve ratio adjustments and other means. From the perspective of recovery of mobility, the deposit reserve ratio more direct, and control the price hike on a limited role, may also affect the cost of borrowing, or even result in foreign capital inflows.
vegetables, Into 2010, the domestic agricultural diesel, agricultural film and pesticides and other agricultural materials prices rose in varying degrees, production, circulation is significantly increased labor costs. Shift from subsistence-based agricultural commercialization process of modern agriculture, agriculture accounted for a historic change, make the Work in the past when farmers do not regard themselves as paid labor costs, but after working more and more that their work is valuable, so seeding, fertilization, pesticides, harvesting, etc. should be hired, labor costs continued to rise for promoting the CPI a major force behind.


>> doubts
but the root causes of the current round of price increases and long-term trend analysis, This time the next one to two years will be there.
11 consumer price CPI rose 5.1%, once again set a record during the year, which is from July 2008 rose 6.3%, China 28 months, the highest rise since the CPI hit. National Bureau of Statistics economic data released yesterday show that in November, CPI-year break, In addition,asics ultimate 81 外交部发言人就日本出台新《防守计, industrial producer prices (PPI) rose 6.1%, and 11 months, industrial producer prices rose 1.4% qoq.
two before the holiday, the government will continue to market the grain reserve policy to ensure market supply, the local residents in the government reserves a certain number of daily necessities, such as winter vegetables, a small packaging food products, edible oil, prepared to deal with harsh climatic conditions of the plan for security of supply. Winter solstice, the government reserves will be part of the pork market launch, increase supply, ensure that the two during the festival of meat, non-staple food supply.
Lu political commissar, chief economist at Societe Generale said the November CPI (consumer price index) and PPI (producer price index) surpassed market expectations, inflation pressure, the future need to continue to increase interest rates, and better next year than to raise interest rates during the year. Now that the central bank interest rate is conducive to the determination of anti-inflation can reduce the effective time of the policy differences, there is also conducive to the future risk of the asset bubble. He predicted that interest rates next year, up to 5-6 times the deposit reserve ratio may be upwards of 23% level.