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Old 05-22-2011, 03:53 PM   #1
omei226822
 
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similar cases is not alone. Beijing also appeared in last year's embarrassing scene. One day in the afternoon weather forecast maximum temperature should be 12 ℃, but in fact outdoor thermometer pointer is stuck in 6.2 ℃; in the previous day's forecast, after noon should be 9 ℃, but the fact is only 3.8 ℃. Inaccurate because the meteorological department, one to go and people to wear a single trousers, then go home that night with a cold. Thus, the problem of people complain incessantly the target of the meteorological department. There are even asked the local weather bureau for compensation events.


However, the second half of the reduced risk of extreme weather occurs, it can not be understood as the number of occurrences of extreme weather certainly less than the first half, so psychologically prepared to deal with extreme weather at any time there's preparation, precautions are necessary.


It is understood that the World Meteorological Organization has recently indicated that 2008 will be significantly reduced accordingly.

in the past 6 years, Shanghai's weather forecast accuracy are the following: - rain or shine Forecast: 24-hour forecast accuracy rate is about 85%; and the major cities in developed countries is roughly equal. - Typhoon Path: 24-hour error is about 120 km; 48 hours, the error is about 250 km. Weather forecast and the international level is very mainstream. - Convection: Success index is about 81. Prediction time is about 30 minutes.

Generally speaking, China's rain or shine, typhoon forecast, weather forecast and the international mainstream level, but the heavy rain and other unexpected disasters, extreme weather forecast, but there is a certain gap with foreign countries, such as storm prediction accuracy of the United States rate of 22%, higher than China's. But our ability to forecast of a tornado a few minutes to ten minutes, the United States about ten minutes to twenty minutes.
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However, the above data, the public is not necessarily known. To this end,timberland clogs, Determined, East China Normal University, Associate Professor School of Communication at the forum also mentioned yesterday: In fact,Nike Heels, meteorological departments to learn more about the people who are able to forecast agencies, published regularly forecast the ratio of success and failure data; introduced the basic situation of foreign countries, for example, The average forecast of international failure rate. In this way, people will also have a sense of balance, recognizing that a certain amount of forecasting failure is normal, the local failure rate is forecast at normal levels.



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second half of the But this year, extreme weather may be somewhat restrained.



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At the same time,louis vuitton outlet, the public's timely access to the latest weather information and weather also affect the accuracy of an objective reason. It is reported that more than 48 hours, the specific location, intensity is difficult to do, but if people are ready to announce the latest monitoring results, the latest changes in the weather to tell you, you will be able to the maximum extent possible for people to provide the most accurate news.
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