vibram toe ( a) the odds of the computation formul

.

in the composition of the odds, we need to study the basic operations of odds, which means: how to open out the odds. From the representation point of view, draw their own odds in real terms is a relatively simple formula, in particular: to estimate the Football Lottery Corporation wins a race, flat, negative probability of three outcomes, and then through the formula to calculate the respective open odds. The formula is: a ÷ b = c c-c × 10% = d.

including: a base to calculate the percentage probability of 100; b is derived Zucai percentage of the company by analysts probability; c is the result of a ÷ b; d is the last calculated odds. 10% of the company which won the football fee (ie normal profit - the money part of the water, will be mentioned later).

such as Juventus Serie A match at home to AC Milan, Juventus Football Lottery Corporation obtained by analyzing the probability of winning is 40%, and then use this formula as follows:

first 100 ÷ 40 = 2.5

step 2.5-2.5 × 10% = 2.25

then the company out of Juventus Football Lottery Odds of winning will be 2.25 or so. such as the Football Lottery Corporation

obtained by analyzing the probability of a draw 31%, then use this formula as follows:

first 100 ÷ 31 = 3.22

Step 3.22-3.22 × 10% = 3

Similarly, AC Milan, the odds of winning can be calculated in the same way, is 3.1, then the odds of the game was: 2.25 3 3.1.

After this, the company will be affected by injection Football Lottery process, according to the team to adjust the dynamic and betting tendencies. Some of the games the odds so there will be large changes, and some by the tendency of team dynamics and bet the game will not be there much change too much.

Through this formula, we can draw odds for all games. If a game, Football Lottery Corporation gives the following set of data:

1.70/3.20/4.80 53.04% 28.18% 18.78% 90.17%

significance of their representatives in order are: primary wins odds, draw odds, odds customer wins, the probability of primary wins, a draw probability, the probability of customer wins, compensation return rate.

many friends here may have a doubt, the Football Lottery is how the company obtained the probability of it?

So, I want to emphasize here is: the probability formula is the key to computing the odds. The size of the probability of a direct impact on the level of odds. We specialize in the following odds on the probability of problems.

As we mentioned in the previous text, the probability that there are two types of odds:

First Football Lottery Corporation to determine the probability of the game itself, and second, the probability of the public mental bets.

so the above formula for calculating the odds and also can be based on the probability of mass psychology to open the betting. For example:

a game, optimistic about the A Team of 40 wins, optimistic about the A team level, 25 people are optimistic about the negative A team of 35 people. Thus, according to odds formula: a ÷ b = c c-c × 10% = d

A team of 40 people optimistic about the win,coach bags for sale Inquiry about Ondansetron HCl, for example, the formula is the first step 100 ÷

; 40 = 2.5

step 2.5-2.5 × 10% = 2.25

the 2.25 A team is optimistic about the mass psychology of winning odds. Therefore, based on mass psychology

probability bets, the odds of the above example there are: 2.25 3.6 2.57.

company that won the football at their own analysis of what is to come to probability, or in accordance with the probability of mass psychology to come to it? When we examine this issue, we can find a very interesting case:

1, when the Football Lottery company analysis to derive the probability of their own, although profits may increase, but the lack of public mental bets support, the odds of the debts arising from increased risk.

2, when the Football Lottery betting the company to derive the mass of psychological probability, despite the risk of control increased, but the company increased operating costs, while profits thin.

Therefore, no matter which of the above methods, the resulting probability is very one-sided. Football Lottery Odds companies like insurance companies to develop premium and paying programs, the need to rely on strict probability. So what is reflected in the strict terms of it? We won the football with previously mentioned several times described the as one process. The result of this process, that is, the probability of a match.

(b) the odds of the probability characteristics.

Let us start with a simple game - a coin toss.

coin has two sides, the probability of toss-up after positive and negative upward the probability of P1 P2, experience tells us are fifty-fifty, if you won the football game to set odds for the company, ideally should be positive odds L1 = 2, negative odds L2 = 2, the product of probability and odds:

P1 * L1 = P2 * L2 = 50% * 2 = 100%

So, if someone bets, then the opportunity to win and lose and the Football Lottery is equal, the odds in the Football Lottery theory known as Football Lottery does not contain the necessary profits. However, this is only an ideal situation. The fact is that the company may prescribe Zucai positive L1''= 1.9, negative odds L2''= 1.9, the product of probability and odds:

P1 * L1''= P2 * L2 ' '= 50% * 1.9 = 95% 100% the risk of losing money!

Football Lottery Odds companies like insurance companies to develop premium and paying programs, the need to rely on strict probability, they are doing in this area is very professional. Specific to the football game,true religion billy jeans Battle of Wuhan, for the scores, they have a sophisticated mathematical model can be a combination of subjective and objective factors in the case of accurately calculate the strength of poor play against two teams spot, and thus the results of calculations that the occurrence of each game probability, this probability is a fair probability mentioned earlier, stunning is often the case, the probability is very close to punters betting on the proportion of Results!

other words: at this time, Football Lottery Company as described in our earlier together.

course, a corollary question then is, football has a considerable uncertainty, the other hand, for some punters may be accepted beyond the normal expectations of the theoretical value, these two factors existence of the Football Lottery company faces another potential risk, and far greater than the probability of the above assessment of the risk of errors. Therefore Football Lottery company usually based on the fair odds for each possible outcome of profit reserve enough to balance this risk.

things have its two sides. Football Lottery in undertaking the above-mentioned risks, there are also risks of using these points of possible profiteering. Take the coin toss example, assuming that for some factors, so the probability is not equal to negative, for example, 60% of the positive and negative 40% change in the probability of punters who do not know, the final betting would maintain the ratio is usually fifty-fifty. Standing in the dark at a time when the company won the football betting odds set to accept when there are two options, one objective probability according to the results of changes in the game, adjust the odds, the odds will be reduced positive and negative odds increase, so that you can still maintain a normal commission income; another risky choice, Football Lottery companies do not alter the odds in order to reverse the risk of losing money when out in exchange for a positive out of commission when the profits far beyond .

the latter is not a fairy tale, on the contrary, it appears that the frequency of people on the football lottery company in the grasp of the game had to sincere praise!

risk for profit to the use of this approach depends on two prerequisites, one Football Lottery Corporation Results for the height of booking, the second is higher than the probability of the bet accepted, generally recognized probability.

Therefore, we often say - Football Lottery's odds are accurate, of the interpretation of odds can be very effective competition - is the reason.

(c) the odds of the probability formula evolution. on the part of the reading

article, certainly friends will ask: For the Football Lottery company strictly control the probability formula, the probability of a specific mathematical model of computing is not the case in the Player's field of vision, while even if we know the mathematical model, are bound for various objective reasons (such as game reading ability, race conditions, etc.) can not use. Therefore, we can only form of odds, odds to the probability of internal research from the formula. Here I would like to mention a very important academic subjects: LOTA model. LOTA model, won the football final analysis, the company is an imitation of a probability model, LOTA, the study of mathematical model of the probability of Football Lottery Company has great benefits.

our study LOTA, just search for Football Lottery Corporation mathematical formula out of odds model, where the majority of Football Lottery Lottery, the only reading of the guide, not to understand the nature of the bottom. At the same time, LOTA text content of articles belong to the basic knowledge representation, exploring the degree is not deep, hope readers Haihan. The following is a LOTA

introduction, would like to thank the original author.

with: LOTA theory and practical application (excerpt).

1, LOTA on the basic concept of Zucai

(1) won the football game

duality is essentially the probability of the game, subject to certain probability Football Lottery Results The show randomness.

the elements in the game, the core is the Bo decided to win or lose the results of multiple items must have two characteristics of and random - there is no multiplicity results can not be effectively distributed to bet on the result of randomness and lack of easy to predict the final result will be as concentrated bets, two will destroy the basis of the situation won the football, won the football industry that no longer exist. Bo

two necessary conditions for entry won the football from the objective to be random nature of the game strong - will never change this conclusion. Won the football players of all randomness must first face the reality, but also for the survival of the company Zucai lay a solid foundation, the latter by setting the odds or unfair rules of random events with the players won the football game dominated by the stability the upper hand.

Having said that, the player is subject to this we call

However, things have two sides. Reliability was shaking; At the same time, Football Lottery in the context of the risks can be from time to time exceed the conservative Modern Football Lottery industry self-improvement and development of this game won the football from the general direction of a more favorable situation of the company, and won the football inevitably destroy the cover of the company - the randomness, the probability of the game and began a determining factor certain defined time Zucai into existence

(2) shortcuts or the only way?

and players as well who are willing to carefully study the game? The answer may be the most appropriate Football Lottery Corporation (the Football Lottery broad group of companies, the same below.)

While on the surface do not predict the company won the football game results, odds and odds balance out by the injection can, however, the odds and the odds here, not clueless, its basis is still predict the game. Teams and games based on the mathematical model, Football Lottery Corporation to develop the most reasonable under normal circumstances the odds, by injection where appropriate according to the Control of the balance of risk and profit. If the Football Lottery Odds the company lost the ability of this calculation, the player will present such a situation: the different football lottery company opened the game with a dispersion of large, often after opening substantially changed by the injection plate adjustment. Fact not the case, the company opened Zucai clearly a degree of rigor, it seems that invariably, the standard disk and so the stability of fixed odds after the opening bell on its high degree of probability with the actual results, there is no precise grasp of the game, which is highly consistent can not imagine.

Football Lottery Odds the company to be very accurate out of the one hand, the need for operators (who generally do not want to bet a significant variable frequency drive select a company), but also the purpose of risk reduction (the most profitable long-term Results should be closest to the probability of odds and odds ratio of the actual betting, the farther away from, the greater the risk Zucai company), won the football game companies have to own a high degree of analysis results into odds form of open, This is the Football Lottery under the rules of the game an interesting paradox.

prominent significance of the odds. In many analysis, forecasting competition approach, the existence of such a data from the odds of starting as a result, the reverse interpretation of the Football Lottery company views the competition mathematical analysis, because the game save data and information collection work spot, eliminating the game fundamentals and strength of the surface changing disturbances, and direct

perhaps just use the shortcut method is insufficient to assess the significance of the odds, on a reference to the alienation of sport and the Football Lottery, more and more competitive sports in the infiltration of non-competitive factors, professional football is from Results of a strength of the effect of random departure from the sport evolved into a powerful and often random movement (the reason for the complexity of special, such as commercial and political factors, not discussed here), if the fundamentals of the game entirely dependent on the information and message, rather than a more well-informed message from the Football Lottery often a group of companies for reference information, it won the football players will face the enormous information asymmetry risk, won the football game at the chance to win even more remote.

won the football industry in the modern relationship between sport and the evolution may be a cause for concern and discussion of the topic, when you see the Premier League and the Football Lottery ads on his uniform, perhaps further thought should be enough professional football and color industry business integration point. Sponsored teams in the Football Lottery Corporation common contemporary large,QQ Journey, when more and more data show the odds of certain events and Results consistent with abnormal, some speculate that is: the interests of the two seemingly disparate association has become the industry between the unspoken rules. In this case, the only public company through the Football Lottery Odds of information to identify opportunities and pitfalls, not so much a short cut, it is more random destruction of the Football Lottery game in which players must master our approach.

(3) does not break through such predicaments

is not won the football rules and other elements. Football Lottery will be accepted, the company set the odds were all passed on the risk of betting, the latter a priori negative, they are confronted with two aspects of capital and information company with the Football Lottery huge gap.

from the common, the ultimate point of view, the game overall and the final winner must be the Football Lottery company, but this conclusion should perhaps add a footnote: leading causes for this situation is that most players in the philosophy and methods far behind - the disadvantage is often attributed to the player mentality (such as greed, want to win kiasu), in fact, the lack of Zucai concepts and methods is essential,vibram toe, the lack of scientific ideas Zucai difficult to find effective ways to , no way will eventually lead to blind and dangerous state of mind. Football Lottery may be largely won the football players and compete for the company luck, but that is the result of the game in terms of absolute random. ############ 21 point game in luck seems quite large, but professional player count game was able to take full advantage of the only two non-random (licensing cycle can estimate the probability of big, 16 points must Football Lottery Corporation card) to select the start time for the victory, players win football lottery company which is a typical example (the world's many ############s are in the hands of professional card counting black list, which shows the ############ knows the opponent's grasp.) Careful study of this example there are two crucial factors that led to the success of players considered: first, won the football philosophy of science - Football Lottery (some games are played such as 21) is not a Not establish the correct concept, the player will not have to find methods of counting cards consciousness, and the rough feel of the experience will easily attack, winning by luck, lost the catching, and professional players count rigorous, science, the means of relative calm ratio, For what does not lose the reason?

Football Football Lottery and any other form of football lottery game, the players and the Football Lottery is subject to rules of the game's advantage, in theory, almost no chance of winning, the only way to win is to have a concept of advanced concepts and implementation approach. Football Football Lottery is a kind of random destruction of the game was intermittent, a more scientific philosophy is to bet the maximum to avoid the random phase of the game, just select the start time for high uncertainty. Odds to look through this