It received the shrinkage of the cross line. For the current market structure, this is a good thing, because Shanghai has finally reduced the amount of energy to the level of six or seven billion, the amount of energy in such markets are already in the stage under the bottom. If there quick rebound afternoon, although there will be short-term rebound, but the rebound is likely to fall again, this trend of long-term detriment. Earlier this week, the market turbulence shrinkage consecutive run more favorable market outlook, this tape to be brewing more power.
point of view from the plate today in the afternoon, especially the five-line Industrial and Commercial Bank force, although there is no significant trend of decline, but until stocks or short-term defensive stocks still a strong start there was a substantial decline in this stock also entered Budie should be said that market has already adjusted to the last paragraph. Because of these strong stocks once Budie done before, the market rebounded sharply in the absence of even the case of the stocks continue to fall less and less, this case is not no way to rebound. This is why the recent author has emphasized that the high valuation of stocks to avoid, how did these stocks fall as early even higher, then there must be Budie behind it, and stocks rally late compensatory growth a reason. In contrast to these stocks, we start to see some blue chips rebound, see the pre-adjustment is large, the stock began to stabilize. The future strength of the market is stabilizing in these stocks continue to get the. Strength or resilience to those pre-stock comparison, after a sharp drop in heavy volume GEM rose again today, although the increase is not, but this is twice in the five trading heavy volume up, so the next stage should not rebound performance GEM will be poor, but the long-term personal GEM is still not good, so this rally only when the rebound.
operation, short-term maintenance of bargain-hunting strategy, focusing on those that adjust the full, began to have certain expectations and continuous defensive stocks, and then go back and look at the direction of our previous five, and then corresponds to the appropriate section stocks, see Which stocks have fully adjusted, then that is concerned about the object.
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Hello, I am very fortunate to be in the market within a few months to see your blog. Three times a day from your blog with much profit. As you said, we are a nice ring to each other.
first introduced to the market or the background. I study finance, has been for nearly 8 years, now working in Hong Kong in the past few years, and never touch the stock. My wife can not withstand the temptation of the stock market, the stock market in 2007, has suffered serious losses. Last December, work is not particularly busy, so I agreed to help my wife to give money to get it back. First stock election was good, 600104, Shanghai Automotive, 14.8 to buy, but was the main Zhencang to shake out 15 to sell. Later that Shanghai Automotive rally good, so blindly confident I started a second stock of the operation, half bought 601,111 positions, this gives me a headache for airlines. Began to fall from the purchase, has been dropped now, has been loss of 30%. Some recommend the Internet to see Dongfang Electric,
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I love you always emphasize Today some of the stock side of things to do some personal knowledge, to communicate with the accounting brother:
1.
On the tape each time the forecast was predicted that the market's point and so on, seemingly quite amazing. Own a few trend lines (see below), predict,
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to the top of the red line is connected to August 2009 the highest since the so-called pressure line
portion of the Green Line in March 2009 and July 2010 the lowest point of the connection can be seen support line 1
portion of the yellow line in July 2010 and the lowest point before the Chinese New Year Support Line 2
conclusion:
market closed at 2872 points today, in between the yellow lines and red line, so a few days later will be very important, mainly to see whether the broader market fell below yellow trend line, if Powei down, then the broader market fell 200 points will have to seek the support of the green support line. Part of the Green Line extension, visual point of view should be about 2600 (did not get the ruler.)
from the daily view, MACD green column shortening, RSI 6 daily Guaitou up, KDJ is expected to form in a few days later to buy low-Jin Cha. The probability of a rebound after a few days more. However, due to shrinkage of small sun today, and the closing price of less than 5 day moving average, and tomorrow will be a very important node. If the sun tomorrow, and the station successfully received a 5-day moving average, the short-term rebound in the basic set, but bounced back after the most likely continue to fall, the test support the yellow line. If negative continue to hover close tomorrow at 5-day moving average, then there will be a few days later in support of a direct test of the yellow line (visual point around 2820 or so). If the short form
rebound, the pressure is bound to test the red line, the visual pressure point in 2950--3000 around. Competition in this region will determine the general direction of the market outlook. The visual, this time will be in about 4 months later, in September.
If the above analysis is correct, then the trend can be predicted a few months later, there are two possibilities. First, stress the yellow and red support line between the narrow range; the second is support below the yellow line, the test of the green support line around 2600. It takes days or ten days later observed the trend to make more rational judgments.
2. on the economy based on industry forecasts
know some information about my present view, I personally feel that the following should be a boom of some industries is relatively high in the industry. I do not know how to understand this problem accounts for brother?
high-speed railway construction and steel
reason: Although very expensive high-speed rail, but the government support, second Five-Year Plan made it clear that investment in high-speed rail line. For steel, I understand that demand for steel will be relatively large, both the high-speed rail tracks, or wagon, including the protection of housing construction, are required to use steel, so the needs of steel will be greatly improved.
infrastructure and building materials industry
protection of housing construction, water conservancy and other infrastructure will inevitably lead plate and building materials, pipeline industry boom.
new energy industry, new energy sources would be more reason to hope that part of the solution because the energy shortage. Now called the essence of the game between the countries are strategic resources and energy exploitation. Less and less in the case of traditional energy sources, countries striving to develop new energy sources is our expectation.
smart grid construction
reason why such a smart grid construction attention, I think the direction is to develop the central Midwest. The development of the Midwest, is bound to solve the power, transportation problems, that is, high-speed rail and power grid. Second Five-Year Plan is very clear indeed written.
for non-ferrous metals non-ferrous metals, I am actually more optimistic about the strategy of small metal, such as rare earths, tungsten and so on. These resources are not inexhaustible.
3. about the prospects of China's future
my prospects for the development of China is very worried. Perhaps the brother of the International Affairs account for more attention, and I was even for the people's livelihood as a concern.
call today with friends in Shanghai, he is very domestic food safety concerns. He is only a few months old baby, now do not know the ate. What formula, ah, the so-called baby food to touch, and too unsafe. Add the ham incident some time ago, dyeing bread incident, every time I go to Shanghai do not know what to eat. Fish, meat not to eat too much of the hormone; eat vegetables have doubts, I feel that pesticide residues. In short, what to eat have scruples. Some businesses lost money really is man's basic morality.
my home in rural areas of Shandong, Shandong now is the so-called new rural construction. A very funny thing is, in our own home is not allowed to build a house on the homestead, if you want to build a house, village officials and the county must give bribe for the job did not give red envelopes or red packets of less than 5000, and a groups of people will go to build a house where people forcibly removed to a house built. I have been constantly thinking about them really is the new rural construction it? Did not feel like.
prices in various parts of China are straight up, 3 years ago to build a house needs 50,000 yuan, there is no fundamental Nabuxialai 80000. Those low-income farmers how to survive it? If you just rely on farming for a living, that life expectancy can build a house, it would need to live frugally Caixing.
I always think agriculture is the root of our country, because it supplies food. Without food, the so-called commercial prosperity but clouds. So to solve agricultural problems, especially the relationship between farmers should put more time and energy. Now, if the implementation level is not good enough to do. Price pressure is not the problem down, collapse not only of agriculture, China's development will be a big problem. Food safety is not resolved, will impact the future of China is hard to imagine that food insecurity can develop the next generation of smart and capable. All these problems will only lead to insecurity of the people (some government officials may not be from this sense of insecurity.) Acceleration of domestic wealth will inevitably lead to centralization of elite talent and a huge outflow of wealth. Any development of a country and region, can not do without money, people, food, energy, and building platforms. If the five to the third, then what will? Sometimes think of it, can not help very worried, especially the United States and Europe and Japan, the tigers were stained peep. Chinese people have every hope that wealthy and strong country, and hope that is behind by a mountain.
solve these people's livelihood, has reached a critical state. Without him, just as the Chinese people, contribute modest.
Exchange of Hong Kong small, scattered
:
First, the general trend of the exchange is already in the blog had a lot of discussion, in particular, have been drawn in early trading today, the last two years to go into a pennant-shaped form of technology, the future trend is to stage a rebound after they break the flag back foot on the rail line and stand firm and take the new trend.
industry on the economy, personal high-speed rail construction related industries that will be the economy, of course, but the high-speed rail concept stock earlier rose more, and are adjusted periodically basically in place, good or bad really depends on future market the general trend, the industry as a whole is getting better, but the industry is expected to better the cash before Ruobei However, the general trend that has been adjusted to look after. As for steel, iron and steel stocks personally think is undervalued, and net assets were basically almost stock, do not forget these stocks still retained earnings, fund, and now this pattern is basically a steel company in the purchase or the net assets and after the discount. But the steel industry is subject to the price of iron ore, iron ore prices are still not optimistic about the future. Fortunately, China has begun to enrich the system, such as the establishment of the iron ore futures market.
on infrastructure industry, the next few years is still very development, which is the inevitable backdrop of the current. On new energy sources, these are the future trend, and now the new energy stocks have dropped sharply after the speculation boom, this stock has been from the adjustment to the ideal point of view of the area. For example, nuclear power, wind power, the stock has dropped sharply than before. Smart grid concept has not hype up big in this industry can continue to share concerns related to the action. As for the resources sector, a hard landing if the economy eventually, and that the risk of large plates, but eventually the United States in the second half if the continued QE3, there will be phased to the madness.
In fact, the world should be cause for concern, because the world has been close to the irreconcilable contradictions, if the United States to continue this irresponsible teeth, then the local outbreak of war is perfectly normal. Moreover, China some time in the future are likely to have involvement in the war, because China's development has come the development is likely to be another stuck point of the throat. But now that China's strength in foreign pressure, China is not a disadvantage, which is China's recent tougher diplomatic reasons. Economically, there is the military's support, not afraid of foreign enemies.
But just as his comrades said, in fact, is the internal issue of China's big problem. Food safety issues such as talking, but food safety is still largely from the Sanlu began a worldwide problem, recently broke the food problem in Taiwan, Germany, the case. Response from now on to see, or do some work, but I think one or two days of food safety will not be able to solve, but also need long-term need for a sound mechanism to resolve. But I think this is not the greatest contradiction of China, to solve these problems in fact, these are technical, time can be solved. Gradual improvement of at least personally think that is no problem. But the more important question is the issue of income distribution, this is a greater contradiction.
on the so-called new rural construction, and now there are very few places do a much, which is obviously a problem system. And this problem is also bound to the development of individuals formed by self-interest and exploitation of farmers. For these, we can only continue to find that protest, this background, in fact, is a lot of things during the game, this process must be the awakening of self-protection awareness. Only his awakening, know to protect themselves and know the law take up arms in order to create a harmonious coexistence. Too many people in China used to submissive, and why some local cadres so rampant, because there is no power of these constraints, these constraints force can only come from the most effective groups themselves.
As for prices, inflation is likely to be troubled for a long time the future Chinese economy, but as long as the overall control, which speed up the income distribution system, to increase revenue faster than inflation on the rate of growth in the economy, these are benign. Now that the price rise, largely made in addition to its super-currency, the more factors come from the increased cost, increased costs on the one hand from the international commodity prices, on the other hand is derived from the human price rise. These integrated factors, future prices will continue to rise. But now speed up the income distribution and the direction of accelerating economic restructuring is no problem, and solve the livelihood problem of the intensity and speed to strengthen in the future is inevitable, it is by the world situation and China's stage of development decisions.
last seven or eight years the work of rural issues should still be obvious to all, which is not from one place to see, but from the overall view, the direct effect is constantly in recent years in the case of disaster year after year Food can also be done under a continuous increase, if not the work of agriculture in recent years is unthinkable. But for three rural, personal opinion or the general lack of inputs, especially in stimulating the enthusiasm for growing grain.
The price issue, personally think that this is not the core problem, and now includes many people, including high-level as the core of this problem, which is a bit biased. In the world, the economic development process,
abercrombie fitch shop uk Balancing Machine, the development of low inflation is always high relatively short time, China has maintained a few years earlier high growth low inflation, but this model is almost impossible to long-term sustainability, because the changes in various factors in the world too much. In fact, the key issue of income distribution, to maintain proper inflation and high growth, while increasing the allocation of low-income people, this is a more rational pattern of development. The so-called blind expected to depress prices for the purpose of (the blind pressure of no benefit not only the economy, but also may lead to economic hard landing), so as to accelerate inflation in the low-income people have the ability to resist, and this ability come from? Is from the reform of income distribution. All the people's livelihood, in fact, as of now the overall development level of China's economic point of view, mainly focused on the irrational distribution of income. And this direction is being reversed, and hope that a few years earlier than ten years to completely reverse the polarization of income distribution,
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